It's built for merchants shipping 1K–500K orders per month who have an engineering team (or technical agency support) and are losing sales to delivery uncertainty or relying on EDD tools that aren't accurate enough to make real promises on.
Our predictions are built on actual delivery outcomes, not carrier-stated transit times, so they account for real-world variability like weather, hub congestion, and seasonal surges. With the default confidence level, the package arrives on or before that date 90% of the time.
Display the date to shoppers as a single date ("Arrives Nov 22") or a date range ("Arrives Nov 21–23").
Confidence sets how conservative the date is, not how accurate the model is. Default works for most cases: the package arrives on or before that date 90% of the time. Choose high when being late is expensive, like perishables, event goods, or pharmaceuticals. You get a later date the package is very unlikely to miss. Choose typical for the soonest date. It's the least padded, so it's the easiest to miss, but at checkout a sooner date can win the sale that a later one loses.
At launch, Shippo Estimate covers the following service levels:
USPS Ground Advantage
USPS Priority
USPS Media Mail
USPS Priority Express
UPS Ground
UPS Ground US
UPS Ground Saver
UPS Second Day Air
UPS Second Day Air AM
UPS Second Day Air US
UPS Surepost
UPS Surepost Lightweight
UPS 3 Day Select
UPS Next Day Air
UPS Next Day Air US
UPS Next Day Air Saver
UPS Next Day Air Early AM
FedEx Home Delivery
FedEx Ground
FedEx 2 Day
FedEx 2 Day AM
FedEx Smart Post
FedEx Ground Economy
FedEx Standard Overnight
FedEx Priority Overnight
FedEx Express Saver
FedEx First Overnight
LaserShip Ground
OnTrac Ground
AxleHire Next Day
Veho Premium Economy
Veho Ground Plus
Veho Next Day
In July 2026, 85% of Shippo merchants shipping 100+ labels a month had at least one order that could have cost less to ship and arrived just as soon — or sooner. When a cheaper option existed, it was 22% cheaper on average, or $5.26 less per label. In 44% of those cases the cheaper option was also scheduled to arrive sooner than the one they bought. Rate selection is harder than it looks, which is exactly what Estimate is for. Savings vary by carrier mix, service levels, and lanes.